Events
Flood event history
Every recorded flood event at Bampton, plus the rainfall, soil wetness, and lag times that fed our model. Used to calibrate predictions and to anchor abstract metres to lived memory.
Total Events
0
Avg Lag Time
N/A
Avg Rise Rate
N/A
Max Level
N/A
Worst Event
-
Rainfall vs peak level correlation
No correlation data available
Each point represents a flood event. Hover for details.
Prediction model
Formula based on historical data:
Peak = Current Level + (Rainfall mm / 80) + (0.3 if saturated)Calibrated to Storm Bert: 0.98m + (85mm/80) + 0.3 = 2.34m (actual: 2.17m)
Key findings:
- • ~12 hours lag from peak rainfall to peak level
- • Rise rate typically 5-7 cm/hour during events
- • Recovery takes 3-4 days from peak
- • Property risk starts at 1.78m
Auto-detection runs every 15 minutes via Vercel Cron. Events are tracked from when water level exceeds 1.06m.